Tag Archives: interest rates

October 2019 Economic Dashboard

Much has been in the news and on the minds of investors about a weakening US economy. Several developments in October helped to temper these fears, leading to a 3.3% rise in the S&P 500. Trade talks showed some signs of positive momentum, with the US and China announcing a “phase one” trade agreement. Better… Read More »

September 2019 Economic Dashboard

The US stock market finished the third quarter near its all-time highs, which is remarkable given the volatility witnessed during the 90-day period.  The media has been touting a recession resulting from the combination of the trade war and restrictive Fed monetary policy.  Most economic indicators are pointing to slower growth, so the Fed has… Read More »

August 2019 Economic Dashboard

August was a more volatile month than usual, triggered by both an escalation of the trade war with China and more indications that the US economy may be slowing more than expected. The S&P 500 had daily changes of over 1% on 11 of the 22 trading days in response to both rhetoric and economic… Read More »

July 2019 Economic Dashboard

After a relatively good month for the stock market in July, the one-two punch of a disappointing Fed rate cut on July 31 and more tariffs on Chinese goods and its retaliatory currency devaluation in the first days of August have sent stock prices sharply lower.  Markets like predictability (which usually comes at a premium)… Read More »

June 2019 Economic Dashboard

The stock market continued the rally from the Christmas Eve low that marked the end of the fourth quarter “mini” bear market.  Stocks at that time fell due to fears the Fed would continue to increase short-term interest rates to levels that would lead to a recession.  The Fed has since held the line on… Read More »

April 2019 Economic Dashboard

The stock market rally continued in April, with the Dow Jones 30 gaining 2.7% and the S&P 500 up 4.0%.  The tech-heavy NASDAQ was the winner for the month with a gain of 4.7%.  Better-than-expected corporate earnings in April, a decline in inflation pressures and an excellent GDP report late in the month were among… Read More »

February 2019 Economic Dashboard

The bear market in US stocks that occurred in the fourth quarter of 2018 was triggered by a fear that the Federal Reserve would keep increasing interest rates to fight off incipient inflation pressures building in the US economy.  Given the incredible US jobs growth machine, spanning 100 straight months of gains and counting, better… Read More »