Tag Archives: bear market

June 2020 Economic Dashboard

The second quarter of 2020 happily contrasted to the first quarter, which experienced one of the worst declines in stock market history. Record fiscal and monetary stimulus accompanied by improving coronavirus-related news served as powerful tailwinds for the market. The Federal Reserve has stated a willingness to respond aggressively should the economy struggle to recover…. Read More »

May 2020 Economic Dashboard

Since the economic shutdown caused by the coronavirus, the two dominant economic questions have concerned 1) the depth of the economic decline and 2) the duration of the economic recovery. Massive global fiscal and monetary stimulus has helped reduce the depth of the economic decline. Policymakers have been aggressive in the amount of stimulus, as… Read More »

April 2020 Economic Dashboard

April was a historic month for the US economy, as the coronavirus continued to grind parts of the economy to a halt. 20 million Americans filed initial unemployment claims, benchmark oil prices went negative for a short period, and the 1st Quarter GDP report, released April 29th, showed a -4.8% contraction. Despite the flurry of… Read More »

March 2020 Economic Dashboard

The eleven-year US bull market ended abruptly in March, yet another victim of the novel coronavirus.  The US has responded with two significant steps: Congress has passed a $2.2 trillion stimulus package (equal to 10% of the economy) and the Federal Reserve has made up to $4 trillion (18% of the economy) in liquidity to… Read More »

June 2019 Economic Dashboard

The stock market continued the rally from the Christmas Eve low that marked the end of the fourth quarter “mini” bear market.  Stocks at that time fell due to fears the Fed would continue to increase short-term interest rates to levels that would lead to a recession.  The Fed has since held the line on… Read More »

May 2019 Economic Dashboard

Rising trade tensions with China and a surprise threat to impose tariffs on Mexico (related to the migrant crisis on the southern border) derailed the stock market in May.  Indeed, the Dow Jones 30 Industrials ended the month on its longest weekly losing streak in eight years.  Investors are fearing the multi-front trade disputes will… Read More »